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To make a long story short, what the action was suggesting on the charts is that the 10-Year Treasury, which everyone and their brother is focusing on, is close to finishing its upside move in yield and downside move in price. What makes this such a head scratcher is the Fed is on record for wanting to raise Fed Funds another two or three times this year, which would necessarily push all short-term yields higher. If the Fed does raise two to three more times, and all the important shorter-term yields, meaning 2-years, 5-years, etc., all move higher, but the 10-Year doesn’t move much above 3.0%, it would make for a pretty flat yield curve. And, once the yield curve goes flat it’s just a walk in the park to an inverted yield curve, which nobody wants to see.
The investment newsletters on the Hulbert 2017-18 Investment Newsletter Honor Roll are those that have produced above-average performance in both above and down markets.
Though this Honor Roll is not the only way of slicing and dicing our performance data, I do urge you to give it serious consideration. Newsletters that have been on past years’ Honor Rolls have, on average, proceeded to outperform other services that did not make the grade.
But I would urge you to pay close attention to the Honor Roll even if the newsletters on it didn’t end up outperforming those that do not. That’s because the “slow-and-steady” Honor Roll newsletters are least likely to be ones that you stop following at inopportune times. That’s important, since the key to long-term success is actually following a strategy through thick and thin. It doesn’t do you any good to follow an adviser with a good rating if you dump him when the markets move against you.